IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Orleans
Southland
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.2	#312
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#92
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#252

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.4	#327

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	4.5%	1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	14.7%	37.3%	13.3%
.500 or above in Conference	43.5%	61.3%	42.5%
Conference Champion	2.0%	5.9%	1.8%
Last Place in Conference	9.0%	4.6%	9.3%

First Four	1.0%	1.2%	1.0%
First Round	1.5%	4.1%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Neutral) - 5.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 8	9 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	75	Utah St.	L	65-82	6%
Nov 26, 2020	54	@ BYU	L	68-90	2%
Nov 27, 2020	67	@ Utah	L	65-86	3%
Nov 29, 2020	78	@ Texas A&M	L	60-79	3%
Dec 02, 2020	185	Louisiana	L	78-83	32%
Dec 09, 2020	258	Campbell	L	71-74	38%
Dec 10, 2020	297	@ Jacksonville	L	71-75	34%
Dec 15, 2020	185	@ Louisiana	L	75-86	16%
Dec 16, 2020	30	@ LSU	L	70-94	2%
Jan 02, 2021	136	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	72-86	12%
Jan 06, 2021	285	@ Central Arkansas	L	81-86	33%
Jan 09, 2021	336	Incarnate Word	W	78-70	76%
Jan 16, 2021	306	McNeese St.	W	80-78	57%
Jan 20, 2021	303	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	73-71	57%
Jan 23, 2021	234	@ Nicholls St.	L	73-81	26%
Jan 27, 2021	283	@ Northwestern St.	L	79-84	33%
Jan 30, 2021	319	@ SE Louisiana	L	79-81	45%
Feb 06, 2021	136	Stephen F. Austin	L	75-83	25%
Feb 10, 2021	285	Central Arkansas	W	84-83	53%
Feb 13, 2021	336	@ Incarnate Word	W	75-73	57%
Feb 20, 2021	306	@ McNeese St.	L	77-81	36%
Feb 24, 2021	303	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	70-74	37%
Feb 27, 2021	234	Nicholls St.	L	76-78	45%
Mar 03, 2021	283	Northwestern St.	W	82-81	52%
Mar 06, 2021	319	SE Louisiana	W	82-78	64%
Projected Record						8 - 17	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.1		2.0	1st
2nd											0.2	0.9	1.6	1.1	0.3	0.0			4.2	2nd
3rd										0.2	1.3	2.5	1.3	0.2	0.0				5.6	3rd
4th									0.1	1.7	3.1	2.0	0.4	0.0					7.4	4th
5th								0.1	1.2	3.8	2.5	0.4	0.0						8.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.9	3.9	3.7	0.7	0.0							9.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.7	4.4	1.0	0.0								9.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.8	5.1	2.0	0.1									10.4	8th
9th					0.3	2.1	5.3	2.7	0.3	0.0									10.7	9th
10th				0.3	1.8	4.5	3.1	0.4	0.0										10.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.6	3.9	3.3	0.6	0.0											9.6	11th
12th	0.0	0.4	1.6	3.0	2.5	0.7	0.0												8.3	12th
13th	0.3	1.1	1.7	1.2	0.3	0.0													4.6	13th

Total	0.3	1.5	3.6	6.0	8.9	10.9	12.3	13.0	12.1	10.6	7.8	6.0	3.8	2.0	1.0	0.2	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-1	88.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1
14-2	65.1%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-3	31.6%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-4	10.8%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-5	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		0.8	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		29.4%	29.4%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-1	0.2%		39.8%	39.8%		14.8															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
14-2	1.0%		22.2%	22.2%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.7
13-3	2.0%		19.8%	19.8%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.2	1.6
12-4	3.8%		11.2%	11.2%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	3.4
11-5	6.0%		6.1%	6.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	5.6
10-6	7.8%		3.7%	3.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	7.5
9-7	10.6%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
8-8	12.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	12.0
7-9	13.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
6-10	12.3%																							12.3
5-11	10.9%																							10.9
4-12	8.9%																							8.9
3-13	6.0%																							6.0
2-14	3.6%																							3.6
1-15	1.5%																							1.5
0-16	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.0%	2.0%	0.0%	15.6														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.4	98.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%